Vasco da Gama vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
27.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
VAS
2 - 1
FLA
55%
24%
21%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
BOA
0 - 1
VAS
17%
20%
63%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
VAS
3 - 0
VOL
82%
13%
5%
|
82 | 53 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
VAS
2 - 1
FLU
46%
25%
29%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
VAS
1 - 2
NAC
52%
25%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2012 |
BOT
1 - 1
FLU
48%
24%
28%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
FLU
3 - 0
BAN
85%
11%
4%
|
83 | 50 | 33 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
AME
2 - 3
FLU
11%
19%
70%
|
83 | 50 | 33 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
VAS
2 - 1
FLU
46%
25%
29%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
FLU
1 - 0
ARS
66%
20%
14%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |