Vasco da Gama vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
24.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2007 |
NAU
2 - 2
VAS
31%
23%
46%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
VAS
3 - 1
SPO
65%
21%
14%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
ARN
0 - 1
VAS
24%
24%
52%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2007 |
BOT
4 - 4
VAS
48%
22%
29%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
CAB
2 - 1
VAS
11%
17%
72%
|
80 | 51 | 29 | -1 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2007 |
FLU
1 - 1
FFL
52%
23%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
FLU
3 - 0
SCI
35%
27%
38%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2007 |
BRA
1 - 1
FLU
36%
25%
40%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
GRE
2 - 0
FLU
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2007 |
FLU
4 - 2
BRA
58%
22%
20%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |