Vasco da Gama vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
22.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2003 |
SAO
2 - 1
VAS
63%
20%
17%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
SAO
1 - 0
VAS
42%
26%
32%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2003 |
VAS
1 - 1
GRE
57%
23%
20%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
VAS
3 - 2
SAO
39%
25%
37%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
COR
0 - 0
VAS
51%
23%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2003 |
ATM
0 - 2
FLU
63%
20%
17%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
FLU
2 - 0
GRE
45%
25%
31%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
PAR
2 - 0
FLU
47%
24%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2003 |
SCI
0 - 1
FLU
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
FLU
0 - 1
FLA
45%
24%
31%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |