Vasco da Gama vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
14.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2000 |
BAH
3 - 1
VAS
35%
25%
40%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2000 |
VAS
1 - 1
PEÑ
66%
20%
14%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2000 |
VAS
2 - 2
ATP
61%
21%
18%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2000 |
ATM
2 - 0
VAS
41%
25%
34%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2000 |
POR
2 - 2
VAS
35%
26%
40%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2000 |
SAO
2 - 0
FLU
69%
19%
13%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2000 |
FLU
2 - 1
POR
42%
25%
33%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2000 |
FLU
1 - 0
BOT
38%
25%
37%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2000 |
FLU
2 - 0
JUV
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2000 |
VIT
2 - 4
FLU
65%
20%
15%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |