Vasco da Gama vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
19.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 1985 |
ARG
2 - 2
VAS
58%
23%
19%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1985 |
FER
2 - 0
VAS
40%
30%
30%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 1985 |
VAS
1 - 2
ARG
59%
23%
19%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 1985 |
FLU
3 - 3
VAS
57%
25%
18%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 1985 |
VAS
4 - 0
MIX
75%
17%
9%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 1985 |
FLU
0 - 1
ARG
58%
23%
19%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 1985 |
FLU
3 - 3
VAS
57%
25%
18%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1985 |
FLU
2 - 1
BAH
60%
23%
18%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1985 |
GOI
0 - 2
FLU
37%
29%
35%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1985 |
FLU
1 - 1
FLA
42%
26%
32%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |