Vasco da Gama vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
21.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
SCI
5 - 3
VAS
53%
25%
23%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
VAS
1 - 1
BAH
65%
21%
14%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2013 |
VAS
2 - 0
ATM
34%
25%
40%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
VIT
2 - 0
VAS
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2013 |
SAO
5 - 1
VAS
54%
25%
21%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2013 |
ASA
0 - 2
FLA
26%
24%
50%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
FLA
2 - 2
COT
35%
26%
39%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
CRI
0 - 3
FLA
39%
27%
35%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2013 |
FLA
0 - 1
NAU
61%
23%
16%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
ATP
2 - 2
FLA
46%
26%
29%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |