Vasco da Gama vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
COT
1 - 2
VAS
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
VAS
1 - 1
ATM
47%
25%
29%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
VAS
0 - 3
SPO
69%
19%
12%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
COR
1 - 0
VAS
53%
25%
22%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2012 |
VAS
1 - 2
SCI
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
FLA
1 - 1
PAL
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
NAU
0 - 1
FLA
37%
26%
37%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
FLA
1 - 0
FFL
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
ATM
1 - 1
FLA
64%
20%
16%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
FLA
1 - 0
SAO
27%
26%
47%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | +1 |