Vasco da Gama vs Figueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
16.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
PPE
0 - 0
VAS
33%
26%
41%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CRZ
1 - 1
VAS
47%
25%
28%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2012 |
VAS
3 - 1
PAL
55%
24%
21%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
VAS
0 - 4
BAH
65%
21%
13%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2012 |
NAU
1 - 1
VAS
24%
27%
50%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
FFL
1 - 3
PAL
41%
27%
33%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
BAH
2 - 1
FFL
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2012 |
FFL
2 - 0
CRZ
36%
25%
39%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
PPE
2 - 2
FFL
45%
25%
30%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2012 |
FFL
1 - 0
COR
34%
28%
38%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | +1 |