Vasco da Gama vs Figueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
18.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2011 |
COT
3 - 2
VAS
50%
24%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
COT
5 - 1
VAS
46%
25%
29%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2011 |
VAS
1 - 0
COT
46%
25%
29%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
VAS
3 - 0
AMF
67%
21%
12%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2011 |
AVA
0 - 2
VAS
39%
25%
36%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
FFL
2 - 0
ATL
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
SAO
1 - 0
FFL
61%
23%
16%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
FFL
1 - 0
CRZ
24%
24%
53%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
FFL
0 - 2
AVA
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
IMB
0 - 6
FFL
12%
18%
71%
|
74 | 46 | 28 | 0 |