Vasco da Gama vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
16.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2003 |
CRZ
2 - 1
VAS
56%
22%
23%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
FLU
0 - 0
VAS
37%
25%
38%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2003 |
VAS
1 - 0
BAH
64%
20%
15%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
VAS
1 - 0
SAO
58%
22%
20%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2003 |
BAH
2 - 1
VAS
42%
24%
34%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2003 |
BAH
2 - 1
GRE
43%
25%
33%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2003 |
VAS
1 - 0
BAH
64%
20%
15%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
PAR
3 - 1
BAH
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2003 |
BAH
2 - 1
VAS
42%
24%
34%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
BAH
2 - 4
ATM
44%
24%
32%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |