Vasco da Gama vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
13.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2001 |
VAS
2 - 1
UCO
74%
16%
10%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
SPO
3 - 3
VAS
32%
27%
41%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
VAS
2 - 2
BOT
74%
16%
10%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2001 |
AMF
1 - 1
VAS
25%
27%
49%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2001 |
VAS
4 - 0
ATP
63%
20%
17%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
BAH
4 - 0
ATM
43%
24%
33%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
SAO
0 - 1
BAH
68%
18%
14%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2001 |
CRZ
1 - 1
BAH
69%
18%
13%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2001 |
BAH
1 - 0
COR
40%
24%
35%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2001 |
BAH
0 - 2
FLA
42%
24%
35%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |