Vasco da Gama vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.9%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
11%
3-0
14.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
17.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.9%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.9%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
12.3%
3.8%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
FLU
1 - 1
VAS
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
VAS
1 - 1
BON
87%
10%
3%
|
79 | 45 | 34 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
VAS
2 - 0
RES
84%
12%
4%
|
79 | 51 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
MAD
1 - 3
VAS
16%
21%
63%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
VAS
1 - 2
CAB
85%
12%
4%
|
79 | 49 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
MAC
4 - 1
DUQ
48%
26%
27%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
DUQ
2 - 2
FLU
14%
22%
64%
|
52 | 82 | 30 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
BAN
2 - 1
DUQ
37%
28%
35%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
DUQ
0 - 2
VOL
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
DUQ
1 - 0
AUD
57%
22%
21%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |