Vasco da Gama vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.8%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.3%
5-0
7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.6%
4-0
11.3%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.6%
3-0
14.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.1%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.7%
8.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8.4%
2.8%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2009 |
TIG
0 - 4
VAS
9%
17%
75%
|
79 | 47 | 32 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
VAS
0 - 2
AME
88%
9%
3%
|
79 | 50 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
VAS
0 - 2
VIT
64%
20%
16%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
COT
0 - 2
VAS
44%
25%
31%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
VAS
1 - 2
SAO
33%
26%
41%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2009 |
AME
3 - 0
DUQ
53%
23%
24%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
DUQ
1 - 1
TIG
51%
24%
26%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
CON
3 - 2
DUQ
36%
26%
38%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
DUQ
4 - 1
RIO
39%
25%
37%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2008 |
GUA
4 - 2
DUQ
46%
26%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |