Vasco da Gama vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.8%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
17.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.7%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
0
12.7%
4.3%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
GUA
0 - 0
VAS
11%
20%
69%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
VAS
0 - 0
SAO
75%
17%
9%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2009 |
COR
0 - 0
VAS
46%
26%
28%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
PAR
3 - 1
VAS
15%
22%
64%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2009 |
VAS
1 - 1
COR
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
DUQ
4 - 1
ARN
32%
27%
41%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
FOR
1 - 1
DUQ
78%
15%
8%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
DUQ
1 - 2
VIL
32%
27%
42%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2009 |
BRA
2 - 0
DUQ
73%
18%
10%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
DUQ
4 - 2
JUV
23%
27%
50%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | +2 |