Conmebol Sudamericana Last 16
Global 1-2
Vasco da Gama vs Defensa y Justicia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
31.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2020 |
VAS
1 - 4
CEA
39%
28%
33%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
DYJ
1 - 1
VAS
54%
25%
21%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
SAO
1 - 1
VAS
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2020 |
VAS
0 - 0
FOR
38%
28%
34%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
SPO
0 - 2
VAS
43%
27%
30%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
DYJ
2 - 3
CCS
67%
20%
13%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
DYJ
1 - 1
VAS
54%
25%
21%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
COL
2 - 0
DYJ
38%
28%
34%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
DYJ
0 - 0
IND
52%
25%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
CCS
2 - 2
DYJ
28%
27%
45%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |