Série A Semi-finals
Global 5-3
Vasco da Gama vs Cruzeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
25.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2000 |
PAL
1 - 0
VAS
58%
22%
20%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2000 |
PAR
1 - 0
VAS
27%
26%
47%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2000 |
VAS
2 - 0
PAL
50%
24%
26%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2000 |
VAS
3 - 1
PAR
72%
17%
11%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2000 |
RIV
0 - 1
VAS
49%
24%
27%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2000 |
CRZ
3 - 2
SCI
69%
18%
12%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2000 |
SCI
1 - 1
CRZ
35%
27%
38%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2000 |
CRZ
1 - 1
JMA
92%
6%
2%
|
87 | 52 | 35 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2000 |
JMA
0 - 3
CRZ
8%
21%
71%
|
87 | 52 | 35 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2000 |
COT
1 - 1
CRZ
29%
27%
43%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |