Vasco da Gama vs Cruzeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
25.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1975 |
CAL
2 - 1
VAS
50%
27%
24%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1975 |
NAC
1 - 1
VAS
49%
27%
24%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1975 |
CRZ
3 - 2
VAS
59%
26%
15%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1974 |
VAS
2 - 1
CRZ
41%
30%
30%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 1974 |
VAS
2 - 2
SCI
43%
29%
28%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1975 |
NAC
1 - 2
CRZ
34%
27%
40%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1975 |
CAL
1 - 0
CRZ
32%
27%
41%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 1975 |
CRZ
3 - 2
VAS
59%
26%
15%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1974 |
VAS
2 - 1
CRZ
41%
30%
30%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 1974 |
SAN
1 - 3
CRZ
54%
26%
20%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |