Vasco da Gama vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
23%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2004 |
FLA
0 - 1
VAS
39%
25%
36%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2004 |
VAS
3 - 1
VIT
52%
25%
23%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2004 |
FFL
2 - 2
VAS
44%
25%
32%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2004 |
SCI
1 - 3
VAS
41%
27%
33%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2004 |
VAS
0 - 0
PAR
46%
25%
29%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2004 |
JUV
1 - 0
COT
43%
27%
31%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2004 |
COT
1 - 2
COR
49%
26%
25%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2004 |
CRZ
0 - 3
COT
73%
17%
10%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2004 |
COT
1 - 1
PAR
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2004 |
GRE
1 - 1
COT
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |