Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 1-4
Vasco da Gama vs Corinthians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
25.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
FLU
1 - 1
VAS
49%
23%
27%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2006 |
VAS
2 - 2
PPE
64%
21%
16%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
SCI
1 - 2
VAS
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2006 |
VAS
3 - 1
FFL
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
SAN
0 - 2
VAS
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
COR
1 - 0
PPE
65%
21%
14%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2006 |
SAO
0 - 1
COR
39%
27%
33%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
COR
0 - 2
GRE
60%
22%
18%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2006 |
JUV
0 - 0
COR
36%
27%
38%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
COR
1 - 0
BOT
61%
21%
18%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |