Vasco da Gama vs Corinthians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
29.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2005 |
SAN
2 - 3
VAS
67%
19%
15%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2005 |
FLA
1 - 0
VAS
38%
25%
37%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2005 |
VAS
2 - 4
SCI
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2005 |
VAS
1 - 2
GOI
41%
25%
34%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2005 |
CRZ
3 - 3
VAS
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2005 |
COR
3 - 2
PAY
61%
22%
18%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2005 |
PAR
2 - 3
COR
43%
26%
31%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2005 |
COR
3 - 1
PAL
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2005 |
FOR
2 - 1
COR
28%
26%
47%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2005 |
COR
0 - 1
FLU
49%
24%
27%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |