Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 4-1
Vasco da Gama vs Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.6%
Win probability
3.49
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
3%
6-0
5%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
6.2%
5-0
8.6%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
11%
4-0
12.3%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
16.4%
3-0
14%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
6.3%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
3%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
6.3%
2%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.7%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2001 |
CON
1 - 3
VAS
16%
23%
61%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2001 |
PEÑ
1 - 3
VAS
17%
22%
61%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2001 |
VAS
3 - 2
TAC
91%
7%
2%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2001 |
VAS
4 - 1
AME
69%
19%
13%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2001 |
VAS
2 - 1
PEÑ
74%
17%
9%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2001 |
SAN
1 - 2
CON
48%
24%
28%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2001 |
CON
1 - 3
VAS
16%
23%
61%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
CON
1 - 0
OHI
53%
25%
23%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2001 |
CON
3 - 0
JWI
31%
25%
44%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
CON
1 - 2
COQ
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |