Vasco da Gama vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
25.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
AVA
1 - 1
VAS
31%
28%
41%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2015 |
VAS
1 - 1
SAO
35%
27%
38%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
FLA
1 - 2
VAS
61%
23%
17%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2015 |
SAO
3 - 0
VAS
59%
23%
18%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
VAS
2 - 1
SPO
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
CHA
5 - 1
PAL
30%
27%
43%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 1
LIB
40%
28%
32%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
SPO
3 - 0
CHA
49%
27%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
LIB
1 - 1
CHA
54%
26%
20%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
CHA
0 - 2
CRZ
31%
27%
42%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |