Vasco da Gama vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
9.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
BRA
0 - 1
VAS
25%
24%
51%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
VAS
4 - 0
IFC
74%
18%
9%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
POR
1 - 3
VAS
32%
26%
43%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
ARN
2 - 2
VAS
16%
22%
62%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
VAS
3 - 0
CAM
82%
13%
5%
|
82 | 48 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
CEA
1 - 1
JUV
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
ARN
1 - 5
CEA
36%
26%
38%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
CEA
1 - 1
PPE
42%
27%
30%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
GUA
2 - 1
CEA
27%
27%
46%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
CEA
1 - 0
ATL
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |