Vasco da Gama vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
27.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 0
VAS
37%
28%
36%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
VAS
1 - 3
CSA
52%
26%
21%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
NAU
2 - 2
VAS
37%
27%
36%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
VAS
2 - 1
COT
45%
27%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
SAM
1 - 0
VAS
29%
28%
43%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
BOT
1 - 0
CON
68%
21%
12%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
GOI
1 - 1
BOT
46%
27%
27%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2021 |
BOT
3 - 0
BRU
68%
20%
11%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
CRZ
0 - 0
BOT
48%
27%
25%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
BOT
2 - 0
CRB
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |