Carioca 1 Playoffs Campeonato Final
Global 3-3
Vasco da Gama vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
24.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2018 |
CRZ
0 - 0
VAS
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
BOT
2 - 3
VAS
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
FLU
2 - 3
VAS
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
VAS
2 - 3
BOT
48%
27%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
BOT
2 - 3
VAS
53%
25%
22%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
BOT
2 - 3
VAS
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
FLA
0 - 1
BOT
66%
21%
13%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
FLU
3 - 0
BOT
50%
26%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
VAS
2 - 3
BOT
48%
27%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
BOT
2 - 3
VAS
53%
25%
22%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |