Vasco da Gama vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
14.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2004 |
SAO
3 - 2
VAS
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
PAY
1 - 2
VAS
41%
24%
35%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
VAS
1 - 1
GRE
45%
26%
29%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
FLU
1 - 0
VAS
45%
24%
31%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2004 |
VAS
0 - 1
GUA
57%
24%
20%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2004 |
BOT
1 - 1
FFL
36%
26%
38%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
GRE
2 - 2
BOT
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
BOT
2 - 2
PAY
38%
26%
37%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
CRI
1 - 0
BOT
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2004 |
BOT
2 - 2
ATM
24%
23%
54%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | +1 |