Vasco da Gama vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
14.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
FLU
2 - 3
VAS
26%
25%
50%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2000 |
OLA
1 - 4
VAS
8%
20%
72%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2000 |
VAS
6 - 0
AME
86%
10%
4%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2000 |
VAS
1 - 2
PAR
95%
4%
1%
|
84 | 33 | 51 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2000 |
FRI
0 - 1
VAS
9%
17%
74%
|
84 | 49 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2000 |
BOT
2 - 1
SCI
58%
22%
19%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
MAD
1 - 2
BOT
7%
17%
76%
|
78 | 48 | 30 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2000 |
BOT
5 - 1
FRI
90%
8%
2%
|
78 | 49 | 29 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2000 |
BOT
2 - 1
FLA
44%
24%
32%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2000 |
BOT
2 - 1
OLA
84%
12%
5%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |