Vasco da Gama vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
18.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2000 |
PAL
3 - 0
VAS
54%
22%
23%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2000 |
CEN
1 - 0
VAS
35%
26%
39%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2000 |
SCI
2 - 0
VAS
33%
26%
40%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2000 |
COT
0 - 1
VAS
28%
26%
46%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2000 |
VAS
1 - 0
CEN
67%
19%
14%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2000 |
BAH
2 - 0
BOT
43%
24%
33%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2000 |
GRE
3 - 1
BOT
42%
25%
33%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2000 |
SPO
2 - 2
BOT
41%
25%
33%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2000 |
BOT
2 - 0
GAM
75%
16%
9%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2000 |
BOT
1 - 0
SAO
39%
25%
36%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |