Vasco da Gama vs Bangu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.5%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.4%
6.1%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2011 |
ABC
0 - 0
VAS
22%
23%
55%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
FLU
0 - 0
VAS
58%
22%
20%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
VAS
2 - 0
BOT
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
MAD
2 - 4
VAS
13%
20%
67%
|
79 | 51 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
VAS
4 - 2
DUQ
75%
17%
8%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Bangu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
BAN
2 - 1
VOL
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
BAN
0 - 1
RES
54%
24%
22%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2011 |
BAN
0 - 2
NAU
36%
26%
38%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -2 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
AME
1 - 3
BAN
41%
24%
35%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
BAN
1 - 2
FLA
12%
22%
66%
|
57 | 82 | 25 | 0 |