Vasco da Gama vs Audax Rio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.1%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.2%
4-0
10.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.3%
3-0
15.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.7%
2-0
16%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.8%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.8%
3.1%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
FLU
1 - 1
VAS
62%
22%
17%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
VAS
0 - 1
BAN
85%
12%
4%
|
82 | 54 | 28 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
VAS
2 - 4
FLA
60%
22%
18%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
RES
2 - 4
VAS
13%
20%
66%
|
83 | 55 | 28 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
VAS
4 - 2
MAC
81%
13%
6%
|
83 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Audax Rio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
AUD
0 - 0
VOL
46%
24%
30%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
MAD
1 - 2
AUD
63%
20%
17%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
AUD
0 - 4
BOT
10%
18%
72%
|
48 | 82 | 34 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
FRI
2 - 3
AUD
54%
22%
23%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
AUD
2 - 1
NOV
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |