Copa do Brasil Quarter-finals
Global 3-3
Vasco da Gama vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
VAS
2 - 1
ATP
52%
24%
24%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
CRI
2 - 2
VAS
37%
27%
36%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
VAS
2 - 0
FLU
54%
24%
22%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
VAS
1 - 0
ATL
52%
23%
25%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
VAS
2 - 2
BRA
50%
24%
26%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
VAS
2 - 1
ATP
52%
24%
24%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
BEL
0 - 2
ATP
39%
27%
34%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ATP
1 - 2
JUV
53%
24%
22%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
ATP
2 - 1
BEL
59%
23%
18%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
SCI
2 - 2
ATP
50%
25%
25%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |