Vasco da Gama vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
31.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
GRE
2 - 1
VAS
71%
19%
11%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
FLU
0 - 1
VAS
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
VAS
1 - 1
SCI
37%
28%
36%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
SPO
2 - 1
VAS
37%
27%
36%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
VAS
2 - 0
CRZ
34%
27%
39%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
ATP
2 - 0
CRZ
45%
26%
29%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2018 |
ATP
2 - 0
FLU
55%
24%
22%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
SCI
2 - 1
ATP
55%
26%
20%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2018 |
ATP
0 - 1
BAH
66%
21%
14%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
ATP
2 - 1
BOT
60%
23%
18%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |