Vasco da Gama vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
42.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
COR
3 - 1
VAS
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
VAS
1 - 1
JUV
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
GOI
3 - 2
VAS
56%
22%
22%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
VAS
0 - 0
SAO
33%
26%
41%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
CRZ
3 - 2
VAS
61%
20%
19%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
ATP
5 - 2
SAO
51%
25%
25%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
GRE
3 - 3
ATP
32%
25%
43%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
PPE
2 - 3
ATP
30%
25%
45%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
ATP
6 - 1
CRI
66%
20%
14%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
FLU
1 - 2
ATP
37%
25%
38%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |