Vasco da Gama vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
17.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2000 |
ATM
2 - 0
VAS
41%
25%
34%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2000 |
POR
2 - 2
VAS
35%
26%
40%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2000 |
VAS
3 - 0
SLO
63%
21%
17%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2000 |
VAS
2 - 1
PPE
67%
20%
14%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2000 |
SAN
1 - 1
VAS
20%
23%
57%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2000 |
BOT
0 - 2
ATP
49%
25%
27%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2000 |
ATP
2 - 1
SAO
46%
24%
30%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2000 |
AMF
0 - 0
ATP
26%
27%
47%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2000 |
ATP
1 - 3
COT
64%
21%
15%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2000 |
ATP
0 - 0
PAL
41%
25%
34%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |