Vasco da Gama vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
15.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1975 |
VAS
0 - 0
CAL
63%
22%
16%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1975 |
VAS
1 - 1
CRZ
47%
28%
26%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1975 |
CAL
2 - 1
VAS
50%
27%
24%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1975 |
NAC
1 - 1
VAS
49%
27%
24%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1975 |
CRZ
3 - 2
VAS
59%
26%
15%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1975 |
CRZ
2 - 3
NAC
76%
15%
9%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1975 |
NAC
2 - 1
CAL
53%
21%
27%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1975 |
NAC
1 - 2
CRZ
34%
27%
40%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1975 |
NAC
1 - 1
VAS
49%
27%
24%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1975 |
CAL
0 - 0
NAC
58%
20%
22%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |