Vasco da Gama vs Atl. Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
40.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
VIT
2 - 0
VAS
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2013 |
SAO
5 - 1
VAS
54%
25%
21%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
VAS
1 - 0
POR
60%
22%
17%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
MAD
1 - 0
VAS
15%
22%
63%
|
81 | 55 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
VAS
3 - 1
QUI
86%
11%
3%
|
81 | 46 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
ATM
0 - 0
SAO
52%
23%
25%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2013 |
ATM
1 - 1
TIJ
69%
18%
13%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
COT
2 - 1
ATM
38%
25%
37%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2013 |
TIJ
2 - 2
ATM
29%
26%
44%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
CRZ
2 - 1
ATM
40%
25%
35%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | -1 |