Vasco da Gama vs Atl. Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
24.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
CEA
0 - 2
VAS
24%
28%
49%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
VAS
1 - 1
CRZ
38%
26%
37%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2010 |
SAO
0 - 0
VAS
57%
23%
19%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
VAS
2 - 2
FLU
42%
26%
32%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
GRÊ
1 - 2
VAS
34%
27%
39%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
ATM
2 - 3
SAO
37%
27%
37%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2010 |
GOI
1 - 3
ATM
44%
25%
31%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
ATM
1 - 2
PAL
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2010 |
FLA
0 - 0
ATM
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
SAN
2 - 0
ATM
63%
20%
17%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |