Vasco da Gama vs Americano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.1%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.1%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.7%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.6%
4.3%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2000 |
VAS
1 - 2
PAR
95%
4%
1%
|
84 | 33 | 51 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2000 |
FRI
0 - 1
VAS
9%
17%
74%
|
84 | 49 | 35 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2000 |
VAS
3 - 0
BAN
84%
11%
5%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2000 |
PAR
2 - 1
VAS
3%
14%
83%
|
84 | 32 | 52 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
VAS
2 - 0
MAD
95%
4%
1%
|
84 | 49 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Americano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2000 |
AME
1 - 1
MAD
77%
16%
7%
|
72 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
VOL
2 - 2
AME
24%
27%
49%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2000 |
PAR
2 - 1
AME
51%
26%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
AME
3 - 0
OLA
72%
18%
10%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2000 |
AME
1 - 1
PAR
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |