Vasco da Gama vs América RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.3%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.6%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.7%
3.9%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2000 |
PPE
0 - 1
VAS
33%
27%
40%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
MAD
1 - 3
VAS
9%
16%
74%
|
85 | 52 | 33 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2000 |
VAS
1 - 1
PPE
69%
20%
12%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2000 |
FLA
1 - 5
VAS
43%
26%
31%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2000 |
VAS
5 - 0
CAB
96%
4%
1%
|
85 | 46 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
América RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
AME
1 - 4
FLA
22%
24%
54%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
AME
2 - 2
AME
40%
27%
34%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2000 |
BOT
1 - 1
AME
78%
14%
8%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2000 |
AME
1 - 3
VAS
20%
24%
56%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2000 |
MAD
1 - 1
AME
21%
24%
56%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |