Vasco da Gama vs América Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
11.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
VAS
1 - 0
RES
84%
12%
4%
|
80 | 54 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
FLA
1 - 1
VAS
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
VAS
1 - 1
FLA
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2014 |
RES
0 - 0
VAS
15%
21%
65%
|
80 | 53 | 27 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
FLU
0 - 1
VAS
55%
24%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
América Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 3
AMF
11%
18%
72%
|
66 | 34 | 32 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
ATM
1 - 1
AMF
81%
13%
6%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
AMF
1 - 4
ATM
21%
26%
53%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
CAL
1 - 2
AMF
20%
24%
56%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
AMF
2 - 0
BOA
66%
21%
14%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |