Vasco da Gama vs América Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.8%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.8%
6.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2000 |
VAS
4 - 3
FLU
67%
19%
14%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2000 |
BAH
3 - 1
VAS
35%
25%
40%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2000 |
VAS
1 - 1
PEÑ
66%
20%
14%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2000 |
VAS
2 - 2
ATP
61%
21%
18%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2000 |
ATM
2 - 0
VAS
41%
25%
34%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
América Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2000 |
AMF
1 - 0
SAN
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2000 |
GRE
2 - 1
AMF
64%
20%
16%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2000 |
GOI
2 - 0
AMF
67%
18%
15%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2000 |
AMF
5 - 2
BOT
25%
25%
50%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2000 |
AMF
1 - 0
GUA
31%
28%
41%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |