Copa do Brasil Last 16
Global 2-3
Vasco da Gama vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.2%
16%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
6.8%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
ICA
1 - 1
VAS
16%
25%
59%
|
80 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
VIL
2 - 1
VAS
9%
22%
69%
|
81 | 47 | 34 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
VAS
2 - 0
CEA
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
NAU
0 - 1
VAS
17%
26%
57%
|
80 | 58 | 22 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
ABC
1 - 2
VAS
20%
26%
54%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
ABC
0 - 2
VIL
71%
19%
10%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
CEA
1 - 2
ABC
74%
17%
9%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
ABC
0 - 0
POR
32%
28%
40%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
ABC
1 - 2
VAS
20%
26%
54%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
AMF
1 - 0
ABC
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |