Vasco da Gama vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
11%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.4%
18%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
8.3%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
PAR
1 - 1
VAS
23%
28%
49%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
VAS
1 - 1
PPE
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2014 |
ARN
2 - 0
VAS
23%
27%
50%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
VAS
24%
26%
50%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
VAS
2 - 0
BOA
76%
17%
7%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
ABC
1 - 0
AMF
36%
27%
37%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
ABC
2 - 1
PAR
40%
27%
33%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
JEC
3 - 0
ABC
65%
22%
13%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ABC
0 - 1
LUV
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2014 |
ABC
3 - 2
CRZ
21%
26%
54%
|
61 | 87 | 26 | +1 |