Vasco da Gama vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
16.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 1
VAS
22%
26%
52%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
JEC
0 - 0
VAS
29%
26%
45%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2014 |
VAS
1 - 1
SAM
82%
14%
4%
|
80 | 55 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
VAS
2 - 0
OES
78%
15%
6%
|
80 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2014 |
VAS
1 - 1
TRE
82%
13%
5%
|
80 | 54 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2014 |
POR
1 - 4
SAM
77%
16%
7%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
POR
2 - 0
ATL
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2014 |
NAU
2 - 1
POR
26%
27%
47%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
POR
1 - 2
ARN
63%
22%
15%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2014 |
BOA
2 - 1
POR
17%
26%
57%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |