Vasco da Gama vs O Elvas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
61.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
5º
13º
11º
39
5º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
ALE
4 - 0
VAS
51%
24%
25%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
VAS
2 - 0
IMO
48%
22%
30%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
SER
1 - 2
VAS
53%
21%
26%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
VAS
0 - 1
MON
41%
24%
35%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
REA
3 - 2
VAS
38%
24%
38%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
O Elvas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
VST
1 - 2
OEL
26%
24%
51%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
OEL
1 - 1
ALE
69%
20%
11%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
OEL
2 - 2
FAB
71%
19%
10%
|
61 | 39 | 22 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
OEL
1 - 1
SAN
28%
23%
49%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
IMO
2 - 2
OEL
15%
21%
63%
|
61 | 36 | 25 | 0 |