Vasco da Gama vs Esperança de Lagos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
48%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
9º
7º
31
4º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
77% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
59.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 37 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 36 |
8º
|
77% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 35 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
47% | |
|
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
IMO
0 - 0
VAS
76%
15%
9%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
VAS
1 - 2
IMO
10%
15%
74%
|
30 | 52 | 22 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
VAS
1 - 2
JUV
49%
21%
30%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
PRA
1 - 0
VAS
83%
12%
5%
|
31 | 52 | 21 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
VAS
1 - 3
REA
12%
20%
68%
|
32 | 53 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Esperança de Lagos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
EDL
2 - 1
ORI
47%
23%
30%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
EDL
2 - 0
CIN
66%
19%
15%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2022 |
LOU
5 - 1
EDL
59%
22%
18%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
EDL
2 - 1
IMO
27%
22%
51%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
EDL
1 - 1
LOU
23%
25%
52%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +1 |