Vasco da Gama vs Casa Pia AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
61%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
VAS
0 - 1
EST
2%
7%
90%
|
26 | 69 | 43 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
FER
1 - 3
VAS
55%
21%
24%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
VAS
1 - 2
ARM
20%
20%
60%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
USA
1 - 2
VAS
17%
18%
65%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
SAC
1 - 0
VAS
76%
17%
7%
|
25 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Casa Pia AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 0
OLI
61%
20%
18%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
CAS
5 - 0
ANG
69%
19%
13%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
CAS
6 - 0
GFC
84%
11%
5%
|
43 | 7 | 36 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 1
OLI
66%
20%
15%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
PIN
0 - 4
CAS
39%
27%
35%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +2 |