Vasco da Gama vs 1º Dezembro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
60.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+63%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
IDE
3 - 1
VAS
72%
16%
12%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
VAS
1 - 3
CAS
16%
23%
61%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
VAS
0 - 1
EST
2%
7%
90%
|
27 | 70 | 43 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
FER
1 - 3
VAS
55%
21%
24%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
VAS
1 - 2
ARM
20%
20%
60%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
1º Dezembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
1DE
1 - 0
ANG
48%
25%
27%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
1 - 0
1DE
35%
23%
42%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
1DE
3 - 2
PIN
43%
28%
30%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
ORI
1 - 0
1DE
70%
19%
11%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
1DE
1 - 2
SIN
27%
28%
46%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |