Liga Brasileña Sub 17 Quarter-finals
Global 1-4
Vasco da Gama Sub 17 vs Grêmio Sub 17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
22.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama Sub 17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 0
VAS
29%
24%
46%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
CRU
3 - 5
VAS
20%
24%
56%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
VAS
2 - 0
FLA
35%
25%
40%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
ATL
0 - 0
VAS
23%
24%
54%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
CEA
1 - 4
VAS
10%
19%
71%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Grêmio Sub 17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 0
VAS
29%
24%
46%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
GRE
5 - 3
ATH
24%
24%
52%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
COR
0 - 1
GRE
46%
24%
30%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
GRE
3 - 0
ATL
72%
16%
13%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
GRE
1 - 2
SAN
64%
20%
16%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |