Copa Do Brasil U20 Quarter-finals
Global 3-3
Vasco da Gama U17 vs Fluminense U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
43.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2022 |
INT
1 - 3
VAS
13%
18%
70%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2022 |
VAS
4 - 0
INT
78%
14%
9%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
VAS
10 - 0
PFC
84%
11%
5%
|
46 | 8 | 38 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2021 |
VAS
0 - 12
FLA
41%
23%
37%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -3 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
FLA
4 - 1
VAS
42%
24%
34%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Fluminense U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2022 |
FLU
5 - 1
GOI
77%
15%
8%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
GOI
2 - 4
FLU
13%
17%
69%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
FLU
5 - 0
CMA
87%
10%
3%
|
50 | 8 | 42 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
FLU
0 - 0
SPA
50%
22%
28%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
SPA
1 - 1
FLU
37%
22%
41%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |